April 2016
Intermediate to advanced
284 pages
9h 26m
English
book
Practical Spreadsheet Risk Modeling for Management
by Dale Lehman, Huybert Groenendaal, Greg Nolder
Content preview from Practical Spreadsheet Risk Modeling for Management
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Time Series Models 181
FIGURE 6.11
Simulating variability and adding trend and seasonality.
182 Practical Spreadsheet Risk Modeling for Management
80,000,000
70,000,000
60,000,000
50,000,000
30,000,000
20,000,000
40,000,000
10,000,000
0
Jan-94
Sep-94
May-95
Jan-96
Jan-98
Jan-00
Jan-02
Jan-04
Jan-06
Sep-00
Sep-02
Sep-06
Sep-04
May-05
Sep-96
Sep-98
May-97
May-99
May-01
May-03
Actual RPM
Forecast
FIGURE 6.12
Simulated air trafc.
27
1%
25%
50%
75%
99%
Trend Plot for Air Traffic Shortfall
24
21
18
15
12
9
6
Values, Scale Factor = Millions
3
0
–3
(1)
(4)
(7)
(10)
(13)
(16)
(19)
(22)
(25)
(28)
(31)
(34)
(37)
(40)
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