
10
Regional Fertility Data Analysis: A Small
Area Bayesia n Approach
Eduardo A. Castro
University of Aveiro
Zhen Zhang
Michigan State University
Arnab B hattacharjee
Heriot-Watt University
José M. Martins
University of Aveiro
Tapabrata Maiti
Michigan State University
CONTENTS
10.1 Intro ductio n . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. .. . . . . . .. . . .. . . . .. . . .. . . . .. .. . . . .. .. . 204
10.2 Theoretical and Methodological Background . . . .. .. . . . . . .. . . . . . . 205
10.2.1 Smoothing techniques applied to demographic analysis 205
10.2.2 Estimation of fertility rates fo r Portuguese NUTS III
regions . .. . . .. . . . . . .. .. . .. . . .. . . .