
218 Current Trends in Bayesian Methodology with Applications
FIGURE 10.4
Estimated Fertility Rate by quinquennial age g roup j (j = 1, . . . , 7, ages 15
to 49 years old).
higher and spatially homogeneous. This is a typical situation of societies where
mothers plan to have one or two children when they simultaneously have
more stable economic conditions and are still young. Conversely, the extreme
groups have a marginal contribution to population reproduction, showing low
and spatially heterogeneous rates with visible differences between observed
and estimated values; in more extreme cases such as Baixo Alentejo (j = 1),
Pinhal Interior Sul (j = 6) and ...