Test Your Judgment
Here is a quiz to test your judgment as a project manager. This is not an IQ test, and it is definitely not some sort of psychological experiment to stress-test your brain. This is a test of your intuition; you do not need to do any calculations.
Consider this exercise an introduction to the book. We will discuss the problems from the test along with other issues throughout the book.
1. You are a project manager working on a movie called Pirates of the Caribbean–24. Your project is to produce and deliver a prop for the set: a treasure chest. You estimate that manufacturing the chest in China and filling it with gold will take between 10 days (you have 10% confidence in this estimate) and 40 days (90% confidence), using normal ...
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