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Decision Analysis for Managers
book

Decision Analysis for Managers

by David Charlesworth
March 2013
Beginner
148 pages
3h 18m
English
Business Expert Press
Content preview from Decision Analysis for Managers

Chapter 8

Tornado Diagrams

Figuring Out What Is Important

We now have a working deterministic model that gives us a single-point estimate of our measure of value. The next tool we’ll look at is called a tornado diagram or tornado graph, which is designed to show which uncertainties are important and which are less important. This is especially valuable if people you are working with disagree on the assessments you have—if the uncertainty is low on the tornado, it isn’t worth more time to discuss the disagreement. But if it is near the top of the tornado, you’ll have to take the time to work through it.

For example, with one new product line I worked on, the owner was very concerned about reusing abandoned equipment from a former project that ...

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Publisher Resources

ISBN: 9781606494882