27NAPOLEON’S MARCH ON MOSCOWTHE GRAND ARMY VERSUSTHE RUSSIANS (1812)
ON THE IMPORTANCE OF GOOD FORECASTING
If you can look into the seeds of time, and say whichgrain will grow and which will not, speak then unto me.—WILLIAM SHAKESPEARE
Napoleon began his invasion of Russia with the largest army ever gathered in the annals of war up to that time. It consisted of nearly half a million Frenchmen, Prussians, and Austrians. Ten thousand men survived. Napoleon had made certain assumptions regarding his overwhelming force. First, he incorrectly believed that the Russians would fight a pitched battle rather than resorting to a scorched-earth policy. ...
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